What is Hillary Clinton's next career move
Rubio, a member of the Senate Foreign Policy Committee, likes to pose as a hawk. "We are at war with ISIS and if I am president we will win this war," he says. "The best intelligence agency in the world will find the terrorists, the most powerful military will destroy them, and if we catch one of them alive, he'll get a ticket to Guantanamo, Cuba, where we can find out everything he knows." If this sounds like a throwback to the days of President George W. Bush, including the threat of torture, then it is by design.
In TV debates, Rubio is often among the best. He always seems knowledgeable, concentrated and aggressive. He has already trimmed his former mentor Jeb Bush in this forum, this week he pretended to be the serious young man who stands above the general bickering. At one point, Trump and Cruz argued over whether Cruz, who was born in Canada, could be president. At some point Rubio stepped in. "I hate to interrupt this episode of Court TV," he said, demanding that the US situation be discussed again. The scene depicts his possible path to victory: Trump and Cruz damage each other, in the end the nice Mister Rubio remains.
Admittedly, his opponents ridicule him as polite and neat, but inexperienced. You shouldn't leave a man's tasks to a boy, Trump once tweeted. And Rubio's rapid ascent sometimes arouses suspicion: "Is this guy really only interested in the next step in his career?" Ask the skeptics - he would be the next young senator after Obama with no government experience in the White House. But Rubio's political talent is evident; his fans say he is the "most elected" of all Republicans, the one most likely to beat Hillary Clinton. When he was a member of the Florida Parliament, Democrat Dan Gelber said, "When Rubio speaks, young women rave, old women faint, and the toilets flush themselves."
His agenda sounds neither young nor progressive
His supporters hope that he will win this extremely polarizing election campaign as the one who can build bridges. First in the area code: Rubio comes from the ranks of the right-wing populist Tea Party, which once promoted him to the US Senate; but he is getting along better and better with the established party leaders. Should he reconcile the two camps, he could win the nomination. Then he would have to run against Clinton in the main election and rally a new, nationwide coalition behind him. It's not that easy: Rubio may be young, but his agenda doesn't sound young or progressive: He doesn't care about climate protection, he rejects gay marriage, he would abolish Obama's health insurance, not increase the minimum wage, move closer to Iran and He would turn around Cuba at once.
In order to win, he would have to mobilize the Republican voters strongly, but also win over alternate voters and Democrats. In principle, this can only work on the subject of foreign policy, where even Democrats of Obama and Clinton are disappointed. In order for the bill to work out, IS terrorism must continue to dominate the election campaign, and the voters must relieve the nice young man from Florida that, as Commander in Chief, he can do more than just talk well. An unexpected number of Republican Party members have now - at least in Iowa.
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